Acute myocardial infarction mortality among Chinese residents from 2002 to 2021: an age-period-cohort model analysis

Published on Oct. 30, 2023Total Views: 2690 times Total Downloads: 591 times Download Mobile

Affiliation: College of Information Engineering, Liaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shenyang 100847, China

Keywords: Acute myocardial infarction Mortality Trend Age-period-cohort model

DOI: 10.12173/j.issn.1004-4337.202306096

Reference: Dong D, Sun YQ, Yan Y. Acute myocardial infarction mortality among Chinese residents from 2002 to 2021: an age-period-cohort model analysis[J]. Journal of Mathematical Medicine, 2023, 36(10): 721-726. DOI: 10.12173/j.issn.1004-4337.202306096[Article in Chinese]  Copied

Abstract
Full-text
References

Abstract

Objective To analyze the trends of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) mortality and influences of age, period and birth cohort on the AMI mortality among Chinese population, and to provide references for developing AMI prevention and control strategies.

Methods The data of AMI mortality from 2002 to 2021 in China were collected from the China Health Statistics Yearbook. The age-period-cohort model web tool was used to calculate the effects of age, period and birth cohort of AMI mortality.

Results The AMI mortality in China showed an upward trends from 2002 to 2021. The AMI mortality for urban and rural residents increased from 16.46/100 000 (standardized rate of 26.83/100 000) and 12.00/100 000 (standardized rate of 27.48/100 000) in 2002 to 63.25/100 000 (standardized rate of 43.39/100 000) and 78.62/100 000 (standardized rate of 81.85/100 000) in 2021, respectively. The results of age-period-cohort model showed that the net drift values of AMI mortality were 3.023% [95%CI (2.591%, 3.456%)] for urban residents and 7.174% [95%CI (6.475%, 7.878%)] for rural residents. There were significant differences in the age effect of AMI mortality among different populations, and the trend of AMI mortality among rural residents was significantly higher than that among urban residents with age in the same birth cohort.

Conclusion From 2002 to 2021, the mortality of AMI among Chinese residents showed a trend of first increasing, then stabilizing and decreasing. The elderly population aged 70 and above, especially those in rural areas, are dangerous populations, which should be concerned about in AMI prevention.

Full-text

Please download the PDF version to read the full text: download

References

1.王娜娜, 王霞. 急性心肌梗死病人症状群研究进展[J]. 护理研究, 2020, 34(12): 2150-2154. [Wang NN, Wang X. Research progress on symptom cluster of patients with acute myocardial infarction[J]. Chinese Nursing Research, 2020, 34(12): 2150-2154.] DOI: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2020.12.018.

2.马丽媛, 王增武,樊静, 等. 《中国心血管健康与疾病报告2021》要点解读[J]. 中国全科医学, 2022, 25(27): 3331-3346. [Ma LY, Wang ZW, Fan J, et al. An essential introduction to the annual report on cardiovascular health and diseases in China(2021)[J]. Chinese General Practice, 2022, 25(27): 3331-3346.] DOI: 10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2022.0506.

3.俞奇, 王斌, 王焱, 等. 我国2002—2016年间急性心肌梗死死亡趋势分析[J]. 中华疾病控制杂志, 2019, 23(1): 5-9, 28. [Yu Q, Wang B, Wang Y, et al. Mortality of acute myocardial infarction in China from 2002 to 2016[J]. Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention, 2019, 23(1): 5-9, 28.] DOI: 10.16462/j.cnki.zhjbkz.2019.01.002.

4.国家卫生健康委员会. 中国卫生健康统计年鉴[M]. 北京: 中国协和医科大学出版社, 2003—2022. [National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China.China health statistics yearbook[M]. Beijing: Chinese Union Medical College Press, 2003—2022.]

5.国家统计局. 人口抽样调查样本年度数据[EB/OL]. [2023-05-20]. [National Bureau of Statistics. Annual data from the population sample survey sample[EB/OL]. [2023-05-20].] https://data.stats.gov.cn/easyquery.htm?cn=C01.

6.苏晶晶, 彭非. 年龄-时期-队列模型参数估计方法最新研究进展[J]. 统计与决策, 2014, (23): 21-26. [Su JJ, Peng F. Recent advances in age-period-cohort model parameter estimation methods[J]. Statistics & Decision, 2014, (23): 21-26.] DOI: 10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2014.23.005.

7.Rosenberg PS, Check DP, Anderson WF. A web tool for age-period-cohort analysis of cancer incidence and mortality rates[J]. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev, 2014, 23(11): 2296-2302. DOI: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-14-0300.

8.周利慧, 彭琴, 王媛, 等. 中国居民1993—2017年房颤发病及死亡趋势年龄-时期-队列模型分析[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(11): 1672-1676. [Zhou LH, Peng Q, Wang Y, et al. Incidence and mortality of atrial fibrillation in China, 1993-2017: an age-period-cohort analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2021, 37(11): 1672-1676.] DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1131433.

9.国家统计局. 第七次人口普查数据 (2020)[EB/OL]. (2021-05-11) [2023-05-20]. [National Bureau of Statistics. Seventh population sample survey sample (2020)[EB/OL]. (2021-05-11) [2023-05-20].] http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/pcsj/rkpc/7rp/zk/indexch.htm.

10.张雪峰, 沈其君. 年龄-时期-队列模型[J]. 东南大学学报(医学版), 2001, 20(3): 200-203. [Zhang XF, Shen QJ. Age-period-cohort model[J]. Journal of Southeast University (Medical Science Edition), 2001, 20(3): 200-203.] DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-6264.2001.03.026.