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The effect of age on prognosis and distant metastasis in patients with stage IV rectal cancer

Published on Mar. 15, 2023Total Views: 1204 times Total Downloads: 466 times Download Mobile

Author: Ye QIU 1# Fu-Ping ZHONG 2# Miao WANG 1 Tian-He HUANG 1 Wen-Jing LIANG 1 Yong-Chang WEI 1

Affiliation: 1. Department of Radiotherapy and Chemotherapy, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, China 2. Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Pingxiang People’s Hospital, Pingxiang 337055, Jiangxi Province, China

Keywords: Stage IV rectal cancer Prognosis Metastasis Age SEER database Survival analysis

DOI: 10.12173/j.issn.1004-4337.202301046

Reference: Qiu Y, Zhong FP, Wang M, Huang TH, Liang WJ, Wei YC. The effect of age on prognosis and distant metastasis in patients with stage IV rectal cancer[J]. Journal of Mathematical Medicine, 2023, 36(2): 118-126. DOI: 10.12173/j.issn.1004-5511.202301046[Article in Chinese]

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Abstract

Objective  To investigate the effect of age on distant metastasis and prognosis in patients with stage IV rectal cancer.

Methods  The 4 269 patients with stage IV rectal cancer from SEER database were divided into younger group (<50 years old) and elderly group (≥50 years old). Kaplan-Meier method was used to generate survival curves. Cox regression was applied to predict prognostic factors for OS. Fur-thermore, logistic regression was performed to analyze the effect of age on metastasis site in patients with stage IV rectal cancer.

Results  Compared with the younger group, the elderly group was more likely to appear liver metastasis (P=0.016), but had fewer lung metastasis(P=0.011). And there was no significant difference in other metastatic sites (bone, brain, and multiple sites) among two age groups. Survival analysis showed that younger patients had better survival rate than the elderly group (P<0.001) with the median survival time being 28 months and 18 months, respectively. Among pa-tients with liver metastasis only, lung metastasis only and multiple sites metastases, younger group showed better survival than elderly group (all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that age was an important independent prognostic factor for patients with IV rectal cancer, and race, T-stage, N-stage, chemotherapy, radiation and sur-gery are also independent prognostic factors.

Conclusion  Age was an important factor affecting the metastasis site and prognosis of patients with IV rectal cancer.

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